Nader is marginalized and being fought off legally, with a fresh victory yesterday in Pennsylvania.  Undecideds polled in a Zogby poll were roughly 80% that Bush shouldn't be re-elected.

To me, Bush has only the map on his side, and only if you average polls that were conducted in different ways, use old data and trust partisan polling from both sides.   This is again based largely on pre-third debate polling data.  I expect Kerry to "retake" so to speak a number of states that

I care to note for the second time to people that largely know who they are that www.electoral-vote.com is a piece of flaming crap that takes partisan polls from both sides (examples including Democracy Corps, Strategic Vision and uses the most recent one to determine the "winner" even though most are well within the margin of error.  In my not so humble opinion, you might as well flip a coin.

My personal feeling is that in reality this still too close to call, but a high turnout of independents probably means a Kerry win.